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北京师范大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2021, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (3): 34-45.

• 区域与城市经济研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国西部城市基本实现现代化的驱动机制、演进态势与政策选择

师博1,2, 明萌2   

  1. 1.西北大学 中国西部经济发展研究院, 西安 710127
    2.西北大学 经济管理学院, 西安 710127
  • 出版日期:2021-05-25 发布日期:2021-09-01
  • 作者简介:师博, 经济学博士, 西北大学中国西部经济发展研究院、经济管理学院教授。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金后期资助项目“中国经济高质量发展的机理与路径研究”(20FJLB026)。

Driving Mechanisms, Evolutionary Trends and Policy Options for the Basic Modernization of Western Chinese Cities

SHI Bo1,2, MING Meng2   

  1. 1. The Institute for Studies of China Western Economic Development, Northwest University, Xi'an 710127
    2. School of Economics and Management, Northwest University, Xi'an 710127, China
  • Online:2021-05-25 Published:2021-09-01

摘要: 2035年西部地区基本实现现代化是新时代推进西部大开发形成新格局的核心目标, 提升西部城市现代化水平则是驱动东西协同并进的战略选择。2011—2018年, 我国西部城市现代化水平整体上在波动中攀升了38%, 基尼系数由0.253降至0.2255, 城市间的差距趋于缩小。2018年区域内差异、区域间差异和超变密度对西部城市现代化总体差异的贡献分别为50%、15.71%和34.29%。西部城市现代化的分布曲线具有明显的右拖尾特征, 呈现出强劲上升的演进态势。新时代西部城市要以现代化建设实现高质量发展, 其重点在于培育创新发展动能、推进人的全面发展、健全现代化产业体系和高标准市场体系、培育现代化治理体系以及发展现代化的生态体系和基础设施体系。

关键词: 基本实现现代化, 高质量发展, Dagum基尼系数, 空间分异, 核密度估计

Abstract: The basic realization of modernization in the western region in 2035 is the core goal of promoting the development of the western region and forming a new pattern in the new era. To promote the modernization level of western cities is the strategic choice to motivate the east and west to advance together. From 2011 to 2018, the modernization level of western cities was generally fluctuating upward by 38%, and the Gini coefficient decreased from 0.253 to 0.2255. Besides, the gap between cities tended to narrow. In 2018, the contribution of intra-regional variation, inter-regional variation and hypervariable density to the overall variation in modernization of western cities was 50%, 15.71% and 34.29% respectively. The distribution curve of urban modernization in western China had obvious right tailing characteristics, presenting a strong upward trend. In the new era, western cities should realize high quality development through modernization construction, which focuses on cultivating innovative development momentum, pushing forward people's all-round development, perfecting modern industrial system and high standard market system, cultivating modern governance system, and developing modern ecological system as well as infrastructure system.

Key words: basic modernization, high quality development, Dagum Gini coefficient, spatial divergence, Kernel Density Estimation

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