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北京师范大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2025, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (5): 147-160.

• 数字经济研究 • 上一篇    

数字经济与公共服务高质量发展耦合协调的时空演化和影响因素

陈浩天, 肖延玉   

  1. 河南师范大学 公共政策与社会管理创新研究中心,新乡 453007
  • 发布日期:2025-11-13
  • 作者简介:陈浩天,政治学博士,河南师范大学公共政策与社会管理创新研究中心教授。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重点项目“地方政府公共服务‘清单制’供给制度创新研究”(22AZZ010);河南省哲学社会科学创新团队研究项目“乡村振兴与农村公共服务精细化治理研究”(2023-CXTD-05);中原文化领军人才支持项目“数字技术赋能农户生产、生活与交往的实践探索与理论创新研究”(ZYWHLJ2025)。

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of the Coupling Coordination between Digital Economy and High-Quality Development of Public Services

CHEN Haotian, XIAO Yanyu   

  1. Innovation Research Center for Public Policy and Social Management, Henan Normal University, Xinxiang 453007, China
  • Published:2025-11-13

摘要: 公共服务在数字经济发展中扮演着重要角色,而数字化转型不但是公共服务高质量发展的时代需要,也是推动公共服务高质量发展的关键举措。本文通过构建数字经济—公共服务高质量发展评价指标体系,基于2011—2023年省域面板数据,采用熵值法、耦合协调模型、空间自相关模型以及空间杜宾模型,探究二者耦合协调发展的时空格局和影响因素。研究结果表明:在时间维度上,数字经济与公共服务高质量发展耦合协调度整体呈上升态势;在空间维度上,二者耦合协调度表现为东—中—西阶梯式的递减规律;从耦合协调发展类型来看,“轻度失调—数字经济滞后型”占比最高,“中度失调—数字经济滞后型”次之,“轻度协调—数字经济滞后型”排名第三;从耦合协调度的空间相关性来看,全局存在显著的正向空间自相关特征,局部空间自相关以“高—高”和“低—低”集聚为主;从耦合协调度的影响因素来看,科技创新、经济发展、产业结构、财政支出、城镇化以及基础设施对两系统耦合协调发展均表现为正向促进作用。因此,需要强化创新驱动引擎,创新融合发展范式,构建跨区域协同发展机制,完善制度保障体系,以推进数字经济与公共服务实现互构式发展。

关键词: 数字经济, 公共服务, 耦合协调, 时空演化

Abstract: Public services play an important role in the development of digital economy.Digital transformation is not only the need of the times for the high-quality development of public services,but also a key measure to promote the high-quality development of public services.By constructing the evaluation index system for the digital economy and high-quality development of public services,using the provincial panel data from 2011 to 2023,this paper uses entropy method,coupling coordination model,spatial autocorrelation model and spatial Dubin model to explore the spatiotemporal pattern and influencing factors of the coupling coordinated development of the two.The results show that:In the time dimension,the coupling coordination degree of digital economy and high-quality development of public services is generally on the rise.In the spatial dimension,the coupling coordination degree of the two shows the decreasing laws of the eastern-central-western ladder.From the perspective of the type of coupling coordinated development,“mild imbalance-digital economy lag type” accounts for the highest proportion,“moderate imbalance-digital economy lag type” takes the second place,and “mild coordination-digital economy lag type” ranks third.From the perspective of spatial correlation of coupling coordination degree,there are significant positive spatial autocorrelation characteristics in the whole region,and the local spatial autocorrelation is dominated by “high-high” and “low-low” agglomeration.From the perspective of the influencing factors of coupling coordination degree,technological innovation,economic development,industrial structure,fiscal expenditure,urbanization and infrastructure all play a positive role in promoting the coupling coordinated development of the two systems.Therefore,it is necessary to strengthen the innovation-driven engine,innovate the integrated development paradigm,build a cross-regional coordinated development mechanism,improve the institutional guarantee system,and promote the mutual development of digital economy and public services.

Key words: digital economy, public services, coupling coordination, spatiotemporal evolution

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