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北京师范大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2026, Vol. 0 ›› Issue (2): 131-146.

• 经济增长与经济发展研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国产业数字化规模测算与结构分析:2000-2023

宋旭光, 吕韶艺   

  1. 北京师范大学 统计学院,北京 100875
  • 出版日期:2026-03-25 发布日期:2026-04-16
  • 作者简介:宋旭光,北京师范大学统计学院教授。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重点项目“数字产业化与产业数字化规模测算与路径优化”(21AJL010)。

The Scale Measurement and Structural Analysis of the Industrial Digitalization in China:2000-2023

SONG Xuguang, LV Shaoyi   

  1. School of Statistics,BNU,Beijing 100875,China
  • Online:2026-03-25 Published:2026-04-16

摘要: 本文借助增长核算框架,将产业数字化分为数字融合效应和数字渗透效应两部分,测算了2000-2023年中国国家层面和行业层面的产业数字化规模并分析了其结构特征。结果显示,2023年中国产业数字化规模已达到141401.113亿元,年均增速高达22.347%,产业数字化规模占数字经济规模的比重已过半,占GDP比重已达到11.872%。数字融合效应规模大于数字渗透效应规模,分产业的产业数字化规模呈现出“第三产业>第二产业>第一产业”的特点。分行业分析结果表明,制造业、金融业、建筑业数字化转型势头强劲,产业数字化规模快速增加,而水利、环境和公共设施管理业,房地产业,文化、体育和娱乐业等行业数字化进展缓慢。同时,中国产业数字化差异逐年降低,其中,第二产业内数字化差异逐年降低,第三产业内数字化差异呈先上升后缓慢下降的“S”形趋势。本文有助于进一步了解中国产业数字化发展规模与趋势,并为制定调整产业数字化结构,推动数字产业化和产业数字化协同发展的相关政策提供数据支撑。

关键词: 产业数字化, 国民账户体系, 增长核算框架, 规模测算, 结构分析

Abstract: With the growth accounting framework,this paper,categorizing industrial digitization into digital integration effects and digital penetration effects,measures the scale of industrial digitization and analyzes its structural characteristics at national and industrial levels from 2000 to 2023 in China.The findings reveal that the scale of industrial digitization in China has reached 141401.113 billion yuan until 2023,with an average annual growth rate of 22.347%.This scale constitutes over half of the total digital economy and accounts for 11.872% of GDP.The scale of digital integration is greater than that of digital penetration,and the scale of industrial digitization shows a characteristic of “tertiary industry > secondary industry > primary industry”.Industry-specific results indicate that the momentum for digital transformation is better in sectors such as manufacturing,finance intermediation and construction which have experienced rapid growth in their digitalization scale.Conversely,industries like management of water conservancy,environment and public facilities,real estate,culture,sports and entertainment have progressed slowly in terms of digitalization.Regarding disparities in digitalization,the differences in industrial digitalization across China have been decreasing annually.The disparities within the secondary industry have diminished year by year,while those within the tertiary industry have shown an “S” shaped trend,initially rising and then stabilizing.This article enhances the understanding of the scale and trends of industrial digitalization development in China and provides data support for formulating and adjusting policies related to the structure of industrial digitalization,promoting the coordinated development of digital industrialization and industrial digitalization.

Key words: industrial digitalization, the system of national accounts, growth accounting framework, scale measurement, structural analysis

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